Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Moreirense
21.5%
Draw
37.7%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Moreirense
vs
1.71
Estoril
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).