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25 Apr 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.4%
Raków Częstochowa
24.6%
Draw
16.1%
Śląsk Wrocław

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.84

Śląsk Wrocław

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).