Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Udinese
24.1%
Draw
19.2%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Udinese
vs
0.84
Spezia
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).