⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 11CSV

10 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
33.7%
Valenciennes
26.8%
Draw
39.5%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Valenciennes

vs
1.16

Chambly

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).