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03 Nov 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Luzern
22.8%
Draw
19.3%
Grasshopper

Expected Goals (xG)

2.25

Luzern

vs
1.27

Grasshopper

Markets

BTTS65.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).