Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Coventry
22.9%
Draw
24.7%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Coventry
vs
1.36
Southampton
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).