Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Grimsby
26.5%
Draw
42.3%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Grimsby
vs
1.30
Notts County
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).