Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
İstanbul Başakşehir
28.3%
Draw
19.0%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
1.05
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
3.2%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).