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24 Sept 2021 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Sochaux
23.0%
Draw
53.8%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Sochaux

vs
1.61

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).