Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Tenerife
35.8%
Draw
35.3%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Tenerife
vs
0.83
Burgos
Markets
BTTS28.7%
Over 0.578.8%
Over 1.545.6%
Over 2.520.2%
Over 3.57.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.2%
0-1
17.8%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).