Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Cittadella
31.4%
Draw
42.4%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Cittadella
vs
1.25
Reggina
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).