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26 Nov 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.1%
Anderlecht
19.5%
Draw
12.4%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Anderlecht

vs
0.85

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).