Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Reading
29.4%
Draw
44.8%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Reading
vs
1.38
Swansea
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).