Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Forest Green
24.8%
Draw
59.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Forest Green
vs
1.45
Exeter
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-2
13.8%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
0-4
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).