Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Bristol Rvs
20.2%
Draw
61.8%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Bristol Rvs
vs
2.01
Swindon
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
10.0%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).