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DHT: 11CSV

19 Apr 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.2%
Ath Bilbao
18.7%
Draw
11.1%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Ath Bilbao

vs
0.76

Granada

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).