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24 Jun 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.0%
Norwich
23.0%
Draw
69.0%
Everton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.50

Norwich

vs
1.85

Everton

Markets

BTTS34.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
0-2
16.3%
0-0
10.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.2%
1-3
5.0%
0-4
4.7%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).