Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Colchester
28.2%
Draw
34.9%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Colchester
vs
1.07
Notts County
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).