Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Barrow
24.9%
Draw
17.7%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Barrow
vs
0.90
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).