Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Genclerbirligi
28.8%
Draw
23.0%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Genclerbirligi
vs
1.20
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).