Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Swindon
19.0%
Draw
12.1%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Swindon
vs
0.69
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).