Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Malaga
22.8%
Draw
21.3%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Malaga
vs
1.02
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).