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02 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.1%
St Mirren
29.5%
Draw
25.5%
Ross County

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

St Mirren

vs
0.94

Ross County

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).