Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.1%
Ath Madrid
19.1%
Draw
6.8%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Ath Madrid
vs
0.42
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS29.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
2-0
17.8%
3-0
11.6%
0-0
9.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
4-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-0
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).