Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Malaga
24.9%
Draw
22.2%
Extremadura UD
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Malaga
vs
0.93
Extremadura UD
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).