Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Fulham
17.9%
Draw
11.8%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Fulham
vs
0.96
QPR
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).