Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Rotherham
24.6%
Draw
59.2%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Rotherham
vs
1.79
Derby
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).