Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Exeter
22.9%
Draw
17.7%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Exeter
vs
0.72
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).