Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Port Vale
26.7%
Draw
44.8%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Port Vale
vs
1.24
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).