Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Preston
30.0%
Draw
34.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Preston
vs
1.18
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).