Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Shrewsbury
22.2%
Draw
54.5%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Shrewsbury
vs
1.69
Reading
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).