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AHT: 03CSV

20 Aug 2017

Milan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.0%
Crotone
11.9%
Draw
81.1%
Milan

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Crotone

vs
2.93

Milan

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-3
8.0%
0-4
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
1-4
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
0-5
4.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).