Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Bochum
30.1%
Draw
29.5%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Bochum
vs
1.08
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).