Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Everton
31.3%
Draw
26.0%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Everton
vs
0.99
Fulham
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).