Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Reims
25.1%
Draw
20.4%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Reims
vs
0.74
Lens
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).