Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Swansea
27.4%
Draw
39.5%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Swansea
vs
1.45
Southampton
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).