Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Karlsruhe
24.0%
Draw
41.1%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Karlsruhe
vs
1.82
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS69.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.1%
0-2
5.1%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
1-0
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).