Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.2%
Sociedad
15.7%
Draw
10.1%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Sociedad
vs
0.87
Granada
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).