Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Spezia
25.0%
Draw
53.9%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Spezia
vs
1.83
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).