Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Eibar
19.7%
Draw
65.3%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Eibar
vs
2.21
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).