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10 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Annan Athletic
28.7%
Draw
28.8%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Annan Athletic

vs
1.28

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS59.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).