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24 Oct 2020 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.1%
Häcken
22.5%
Draw
68.4%
Mjällby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Häcken

vs
1.88

Mjällby

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.6%
0-2
15.6%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.8%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).