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HHT: 22CSV

16 Apr 2016

Ascoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Trapani
33.5%
Draw
25.7%
Ascoli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Trapani

vs
0.83

Ascoli

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.6%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).