Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Nott'm Forest
29.3%
Draw
28.9%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.18
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).