Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Spartak Moskva
23.6%
Draw
16.1%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.95
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).