Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Celta
26.6%
Draw
18.8%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Celta
vs
0.77
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).