Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Cartagena
25.6%
Draw
38.9%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Cartagena
vs
1.38
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).