Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Tottenham
26.1%
Draw
44.4%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Tottenham
vs
1.76
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).