Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Alton
26.7%
Draw
50.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Alton
vs
1.39
Swindon
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).