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06 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Cardiff
26.8%
Draw
44.5%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Cardiff

vs
1.57

Hull

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).